河北环境工程学院学报

基于2012—2023年中国30个省份(不包括西藏、台湾和港澳地区)的面板数据,探究数字经济对制造业绿色韧性的影响和作用机制。研究发现:数字经济直接促进制造业绿色韧性的提升,并且通过服务化转型的中介路径产生间接影响;异质性分析表明,区域间数字经济效应呈现显著的“东高西低”“南高北低”的梯度特征,区域内数字经济效应大致与区域经济发展水平呈现出同向关联,西部地区呈现反向关联;门槛效应分析表明,环境规制存在单一门槛,跨越后促进作用增强;空间效应分析表明,数字经济对邻近地区呈负向空间溢出。因此,应加快数字经济发展、推进服务化转型、实施差异化环境监管与区域协同,以提升制造业绿色韧性。

Based on the panel data of 30 provinces in China from 2012 to 2023(excluding Xizang, Taiwan, Hong Kong and Macao regions), this paper explores the impact and mechanism of digital economy on the green resilience of manufacturing industry. The research findings show that the digital economy directly and indirectly promotes the green resilience of the manufacturing industry through service transformation; heterogeneity analysis reveals that the digital economy effect among regions exhibits a distinct gradient characteristic of "being higher in the east and lower in the west, and higher in the south and lower in the north". Specifically, the digital economy effect within a region is generally positively correlated with the region′s economic development level,while an opposite correlation is observed in the western regions; the threshold effect analysis reveals that environmental regulations have a single threshold, and the promotion effect is enhanced after crossing it; the spatial effect analysis shows that the digital economy has a negative spatial spillover effect on neighboring regions. Therefore, efforts should be made to accelerate the development of the digital economy, promote service transformation, implement differentiated environmental regulation and regional collaboration to enhance the green resilience of the manufacturing industry.